关键要点
- 要发现新事物,必须做“好但不明显”的想法:明显好的想法,别人早就在做了。
- 好想法不明显的一个常见原因是,它藏在某个人们深信不疑的错误假设的阴影里。
- 打压异端的文化很危险:压制的不仅是直接反驳该假设的想法,还有一切间接暗示它为假的想法。
- 每个被珍视的错误假设周围,都有一个未被探索的想法“死区”;假设越荒谬,死区越大。
- 反过来说,寻找新想法的一个办法就是寻找异端——令人沮丧的死区,换个角度看就是储量惊人的新想法矿藏。
—— 本文选自东西书院 dongxishuyuan.com
PG 原话
要发现新事物,你必须去做那些好但不明显的想法;如果一个想法明显地好,别人大概已经在做了。
To discover new things, you have to work on ideas that are good but non-obvious; if an idea is obviously good, other people are probably already working on it.
每个被珍视的错误假设周围,都有一个未被探索的想法的死区。假设越荒谬,它制造的死区就越大。
Every cherished mistaken assumption has a dead zone of unexplored ideas around it. And the more preposterous the assumption, the bigger the dead zone it creates.
出处
- 英文原题:Novelty and Heresy(2019年11月)
- 原文:https://www.paulgraham.com/nov.html
- 本书院编译 · 底本为 paulgraham.com 英文原典
中文为本书院编译(意译),关键英文术语保留原文;英文引文逐字核验为原典连续子串。
延伸阅读 · 跨篇互见
微软的 Altair Basic 时刻:别嘲笑听起来很烂的点子
伟大公司起步时几乎都显得很烂;遇到烂点子别急着嘲笑,先问:这是哪个微软的 Altair Basic?
Because they practically all seemed lame at first. Not just small, lame. Not just the first step up a big mountain. More like the first step into a swamp.
I ask What Microsoft is this the Altair Basic of? Now its a puzzle, and the burden is on me to solve it.
场景交集:寻找创意、选择方向、判断力出处:What Microsoft Is this the Altair Basic of? · paulgraham.com 原文 ↗
靠谱的领域专家提出听起来荒谬的想法时,别急着否定——荒谬在此刻从无聊的证据翻转为刺激的证据,整篮子押注期望为正。
If the person proposing the idea is reasonable, then they know how implausible it sounds. And yet theyre proposing it anyway. That suggests they know something you dont.
on average the ideas that seem craziest will, if correct, have the biggest effect.
场景交集:寻找创意、选择方向、判断力出处:Crazy New Ideas · paulgraham.com 原文 ↗
想创办下一个Google:先通过个人项目变强,想法会自己来;别为神秘他人造东西。
The critical distinction is whether youre producing or just consuming. Are you writing computer games, or just playing them? Thats the cutoff.
Projects arent just the best way to learn about technology. Theyre also the best source of startup ideas.
场景交集:寻找创意、选择方向出处:How to Start Google · paulgraham.com 原文 ↗
新想法的来源是注意异常:知识像分形,边缘的缺口处藏着整片新大陆。
The way to get new ideas is to notice anomalies: what seems strange, or missing, or broken?
Knowledge grows fractally.
场景交集:寻找创意、选择方向出处:How to Get New Ideas · paulgraham.com 原文 ↗
本区为 L2 延展案例(跨篇互见):PG 其他原典中的相关论述,仍属原典直读;引文均为逐字核验。解读与主编观点见 L3(筹备中)。